Reference

The Democratic hold in recent special elections can be attributed to several factors:

1. Voter Turnout and Mobilization: Democrats have been successful in mobilizing their base and increasing voter turnout. This has been crucial in closely contested races.

2. Key Issues: Specific issues, such as abortion rights, have energized voters. For instance, the passage of Ohio Issue 1, which establishes a right to abortion, saw strong support from Democratic voters (AP News).

3. Geographic Gains: Democrats have been performing strongly in traditionally Republican or swing areas. This includes significant performance in states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania (ABC News).

4. Local Focus: The Democratic strategy of focusing on state and local issues, alongside national discourse, has helped in securing victories.

5. Republican Challenges: Internal divisions within the Republican Party and specific controversies have sometimes weakened their candidates, aiding Democratic success.

These factors, combined with strategic campaigning, have led to strong Democratic performances in special elections throughout 2023.